Showing posts with label Assad. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Assad. Show all posts

Friday, May 9, 2014

QUINN ON SYRIA, PRAYER AT PUBLIC MEETINGS, AND EMANUEL’S DISPENSING HIS WISDOM ON WABASH

5/9/14

Time is tight, as it has been for the last several months, but a man’s gotta write what a man’s gotta write…

WHY DO SO MANY IN WASHINGTON WANT TO HELP AL QAEDA IN SYRIA?
Contrary to what the likes of John McCain would have you believe, militarism and meddling does not equate to patriotism.


CAPTAIN OBVIOUS STRIKES AGAIN:  SUPREME COURT SAYS IT’S OKAY TO PRAY
Maybe this is the beginning of the end of all the silliness inflicted on us by the freedom from religion crowd…but probably not.


RAHM EMANUEL TO DOWNTOWN BUSINESSPEOPLE:  JUST SHUT UP AND PAY
And have you noticed how the local media, or at least elements of the Chicago Tribune, seem to have turned on their consanguineous champion?  Still…bet heavily on the wise and mighty Rahm’s reelection.  In the screwed up politics of enlightened, modern day America, it’s all about money, and Mr. Emanuel has boatloads of it.


Have a great weekend, everybody, and God bless and thank all of you out there who are mothers.




See my two books, The Chairman, A Novel of Big City Politics and The Chairman’s Challenge, A Continuing Novel of Big City Politics, for further illumination on how things work in Chicago and Illinois politics. 



Wednesday, May 29, 2013

RUSSIAN ARMS TO SYRIA: THANK YOU, COMRADE?

5/29/13

U.K. Foreign Secretary William Hague, commenting on the EU decision effectively clearing the way to ship arms to the Syrian rebels (but probably not before August 31), stated

“We would only send arms to anybody in carefully controlled circumstances…with other countries and in accordance with international law.”

The French, meanwhile, are considering Gen. Salim Idris, leader of the Supreme Military Council, the latest Middle Eastern potentate disguising himself as a “moderate” in order to get on the receiving end of the Western aid sluice (perhaps Mr. Idris is  a distant cousin of Hamid Karzai, but I digress.), as a possible channel for western arms shipments.

The Western urge to help the citizenry of Syria is understandable; no one wants to stand by while the citizenry is being slaughtered by its own government.   The Western search for a “moderates” to arm to fight the Assad regime is also understandable; no one wants to arm Al Qaeda and Al Qaeda wannabes and have doing so come back to bite the benefactor; think the United States, which virtually created Al Qaeda to fight the Soviets in Afghanistan.  




While these impulses are understandable, they are as silly as U.S. guarantees to Russia of their naval base in Tartus in a post-Assad Syria.  See my 5/17/13 post, AMERICAN ASSURANCES IN SYRIA:  A RUSSIAN GUANTANAMO IN AL QAEDA’S COURT?   The West cannot control events in Syria and there are no “moderates,” whatever that means in this context, to arm.  We have three choices in Syria:   support the thuggish, or worse, Assad regime, support the radicals who compose virtually all of the Syrian resistance, or stay the hell out of the whole conflict.   The third is the only logical course of action.  See, inter alia, THE SYRIAN CIVIL WAR:  A FRIGHTENING HISTORICAL ANALOGY, 5/24/13 and WHAT IF BASHAR ASSAD WINS IN SYRIA?, 5/21/13.

Ironically, but not for the first time in history, the Russians may be doing us a favor by intervening actively in Syria.  They may not be doing the right thing for themselves;  they, too, should probably stay out, though their interests in Syria are more vital than outs.  Again, see my 5/17/13 post.   In the wake of the EU talk of arming the rebels, the Russians have reaffirmed their determination to send, among other things, the S-300 air defense system to Syria, which is sufficiently sophisticated to quash any Western ideas of air raids or no-fly zones in Syria.   As Russian Deputy Foreign Minister Sergei Ryabkov put it,

“Such steps in many ways restrain some hotheads.” 

And we know who Mr. Ryabkov has in mind when he speaks of  “hotheads.”

Going further, the Russians may be doing us a larger favor by keeping the Assad dynasty in power.   Beyond Syria’s being the Russians’ only friend in the Arab world and containing the only Russian base outside the former Soviet Union, the Russians have a third great interest in Syria, i.e., containing the spread of radical Islamism that is causing the Russians fits in its southern Republics of Chechnya and Dagestan and which we got a taste of in Boston earlier this Spring.   If Assad is overthrown, it isn’t going to be done by the “moderates” we in the West fantasize about.  Syria will become either a radical Islamic republic or, more likely, a lawless no-man’s land, like Afghanistan, a veritable agar dish for radical groups.  

Given Syria’s physical proximity to the southern reaches of Russia, the Russians are understandably very concerned about Syria’s becoming a breeding ground for terrorist troublemakers.   And even though we have the luxury of distance, we should be equally concerned.  Again, the Russians may very well be doing us several favors in Syria.

Thursday, April 11, 2013

SYRIA: GROUNDHOG DAY FOR AMERICAN FOREIGN POLICY

4/11/13

The Obama Administration, after doing a passingly decent job of keeping us out of yet another war in which we don’t belong, is succumbing to domestic and international pressure by moving toward authorizing our further involvement in the Syrian civil war by providing body armor and night vision goggles for the rebel groups in that troubled “nation.”

Why in the world should we be doing anything to help the “opposition” in Syria?   We know that the core of the opposition, certainly on the ground, is composed of people who are al-Qaeda affiliates or wannabes.   They wish us no good whatsoever.   Maybe even more importantly, toppling of the Assad dynasty, out of a misplaced, unquestioning enthusiasm for what the knee jerkers call “democracy” (perhaps not realizing that what we have in this country is, thank God, not democracy but representative government in the form of a democratic republic.   There is more than semantics involved here.   And there is also the question, given the American tendency to squander our time, and prominent slots in the news, on celebrity gossip and other such cotton candy for the mind, of whether even we here in America are ready for representative government, but I digress.  At least I do so parenthetically.) will not lead to some Valhalla of self-determination but, rather, to chaos.  



Look at Egypt and Libya, where western do-gooders decided that we no longer wanted those very bad men Mubarak and Qadafi.  Egypt is on the verge of, and Libya is thoroughly immersed in, complete chaos, with Colonel Qadafi’s former caches of arms feeding the growing flames to Libya’s south and roving, free lance gangs of armed men having their way with the populace and with, lest we forget, foreign consulates.   Even Tunisia, where the numb-skulled panters for “democracy” first had their way by cheering, and then engineering, the overthrow of Zine Ben Ali, things are spinning out of control, with assassination replacing the ballot as a means of transferring power.   Perhaps a less obvious example (And you heard it here first, folks.), is Myanmar, where the military regime is loosening things up in response to western pressure for “democracy”…and where, suddenly, after years of admittedly uneasy yet peaceful coexistence, the Muslims and Buddhists are fighting pitched battles in the streets and burning each other’s schools and places of worship.   Progress indeed.

No one is arguing that the Assads, Mubarak, Qadafi, Ben Ali, or the Myanmarese (?) generals are/were nice people.  They are/were brutal and repressive.   But now we are seeing why, to some extent, they have/had to be.   They are/were in charge of countries whose borders were drawn to suit Western imperial designs, not to account for the ethnic and religious divergences among their populations.  These countries were designed to fail, albeit perhaps inadvertently, by placing ethnic and religious groups whose most salient trait was their hatred for their neighbors, in the same country.   One can’t keep order in such a boiling, dyspeptic stew of toxins by being a nice guy who adheres to democratic principles and respects the Jeffersonian rights of everyone regardless of literacy, education, etc.   And so these countries were ruled by authoritarians who exercised their despotism in varying degrees according to their predispositions and the conditions over which they had charge.   Nice people?   No.  Necessary people?   Probably.

When these types of leaders are overthrown, the result is not the kind of democracy exercised in the debate clubs of the Ivy League and the discussion desks at CNN; the result is a dystopic hell.   The consequences are horrific for the region, the world, and especially for our ally Israel, which now finds itself, courtesy of the “democratic” impulses of its western friends, on the border of two failed states in which “democracy” translates into hatred of Israel and its very existence.

Yet the European powers charge ahead, seeking the overthrow of the Assad dynasty and pressuring us to join them in creating the conditions for dystopia.   And Mr. Obama goes along with the Europeans and with the members of the War Party in this country, led by Senator John “I’ve Never Seen a War I Didn’t Want Us (Meaning you) to Participate In” McCain and his mini-me from South Carolina, Lindsey Graham, who would have us, at a minimum, bombing Syrian airfield and positioning more Patriot missiles in Turkey’s south to enforce a no-fly zone in northern Syria.

At best this is a case of Americans’ and other Westerners’ never learning from their mistakes and their hubris due to their being overly enamored with a concept, democracy, with which they are at best passingly familiar and which they assume requires no preconditions.

At worst, and I used to think that this was too cynical a view, something more sinister is at work here.   Perhaps the bipartisan War Party’s entire aim is to foment chaos throughout the Middle East and beyond.   This would create more opportunities for deploying U.S. troops in pointless conflicts…and rewarding the arms merchants who finance the endless exercises is self-aggrandizement these patheticos call careers.