Showing posts with label Rahm Emanuel. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Rahm Emanuel. Show all posts

Friday, October 24, 2014

RAHM EMANUEL AND ELECTRONIC TESTING: GOOD GOVERNMENT REALLY IS GOOD POLITICS, EH?

10/24/14

City of Chicago Human Resources Director Soo Choi said Thursday that she wants to convert all tests for city jobs from paper exams to electronic exams.  This is being touted by the Emanuel administration’s toadies in the media as a sharp blow for fairness, against corruption and the evils of patronage.  (See my nearly instantly seminal comments on patronage and its effect on governance, PATRONAGE, THE SHAKMAN DECREE, THE CITY THATONCE WORKED…AND DAVID COPPERFIELD, published 6/16/14 at Rant Lifestyle.) 
In its eagerness to embrace the veneer of reform, the local cheering section for Rahm Emanuel that calls itself the City Hall press corps has it wrong.  Mr. Emanuel’s plan to replace paper tests with electronic tests is not a blow for clean government but, rather, a concession to the modern reality of politics and yet another move to drop the peanuts and grab the golden nuggets.
The precinct captains and the armies of patronage workers of which they were once part are effectively dead as devices for getting out the vote and winning elections.   Federal pressure, largely in the form of Shakman enforcement, has made disciplining the troops nearly impossible.  Maybe more importantly, voters are too busy (Some gullible types say too informed, but that is another issue.) or insouciant to take the time to listen to their neighbors’ pitches for candidates.  The modern voter, even in the remaining supposedly Machine bastions, decides how to vote based on idiotic 30 second ads that interrupt his or her nightly viewing of the schlock we call prime time television.  Over the last 30 or 40 years, the television has steadily replaced the ward organization as the key to winning elections; the television is the new precinct captain and has been for years.   Some of us think this is not an entirely favorable development (See the aforementioned post.), but I digress.
The precinct captain can’t do the pols much good, so why bother fighting Shakman and other federal attacks on patronage?   Why not go the good government route and make moves, such as replacing paper exams with electronic tests, that will further wow the already completely in the tank press and, more importantly, yield an enormous dividend itself?  
What is the dividend this latest goo-goo maneuver will yield?  The electronic tests will involve millions of dollars in contracts for consultants, vendors, lawyers, facilitators and God only knows who else.  Do you suppose that those on the receiving end of this largesse will not show their gratitude by making generous contributions to the various political funds of the mayor and his minions?   If you don’t suppose so, you are hopelessly naïve; make no mistake; something is expected from those who do business with the city, and such expectations, of course, didn’t start with Rahm Emanuel.
Why bother defending patronage when it is impotent in the modern political era?  Why not actually join the fight against it when doing so can generate the money that can be used to buy the inane 30 second ads (and employ relatives, friends, and other hangers-on in the political apparati) that actually win elections in this era of the frighteningly low information voter?

See my two books, The Chairman, A Novel of Big City Politics and The Chairman’s Challenge, A Continuing Novel of Big City Politics, for further illumination on how things work in Chicago and Illinois politics. 


Tuesday, September 23, 2014

RAHM VS. THE LILLIPUTIANS

9/23/14

Fran Spielman, the City Hall reporter for the Chicago Sun-Times, write a story published today (“Long shot could force runoff,” page 11) arguing that while Alderman Bob Fioretti cannot possibly win a mayoral race against Rahm Emanuel, the presence of both Mr. Fioretti and Chicago Teachers’ Union President Karen Lewis on the primary ballot could make a runoff more likely.   (See ALDERMAN BOB FIORETTI THROWS HIS HAT IN THE RING:  OH, HEART BE STILL, 9/13/14 for more illumination on Mr. Fioretti and his minuscule chances for winning the big office on the 5th Floor.)

A brief primer on the mayoral election process in Chicago is in order here.  Chicago mayoral elections are no longer officially partisan; instead, there is a nonpartisan primary in February.  If a candidate gets more than 50% of the vote, s/he becomes mayor.  If no candidate wins 50% of the vote, a runoff is held in April.  Since this officially nonpartisan process was initiated in 1999, there has been no runoff election.

Ms. Spielman, like any political junky reporter, loves a good story.  She even trotted out old school independent strategist Don Rose in support of her thesis, or at least in pursuit of her story.  But Ms. Spielman is, in this case, clearly delusional.  

As I have said before (e.g., TONI PRECKWINKLE RULES OUT A RUNFOR MAYOR OF CHICAGO…MY READERSYAWN, 7/15/14), no one is going to beat Rahm Emanuel in February and there will be no April election.   Mr. Emanuel has the money, the organization, the cowering pols, the obsequious “business community,” the private sector unions, and certainly the fawning press, national and local, behind him.   Politics everywhere, but especially in Chicago, is about money and the people who make money, or can potentially make money, from politics in this city on the make are either behind Mr. Emanuel or will be wooed by promises of money, or by threats, to get behind Mr. Emanuel.  Whether Mr. Emanuel runs against one, two, or a million opponents, that will be the case.

Mr. Emanuel’s inevitability would be, if anything, enhanced by the presence of both Ms. Lewis and Mr. Fioretti on the primary ballot.  Yes, there are differences between them…professional background and race come immediately to mind.  But, fully mindful that ideology is overrated in the governance of cities, it is useful to point out that these two are ideological clones.  Their philosophies are identical…vilify and tax the wealthy in order to pander to the poor.  In a mindless jihad that could only be conceived by those with complete ignorance of economics, both Ms. Lewis and Mr. Fioretti would increase the tax and regulatory burden to make the city sort of dystopia for the productive in a gormless appeal to the baser instincts of the masses.  Hello Detroit.

If we were to join the fantasizing about the possibility of unseating the Wise and Mighty Rahm, we would do well to heed Greg Goldner, Mr. Emanuel’s campaign manager in his 2002 run for Congress, as quoted in the Spielman article, who said

“They’re (Ms. Lewis and Mr. Fioretti) almost splitting the progressive community.  That’s not the right starting point to go to the white ethnic base on the Northwest and Southwest sides that might be dissatisfied with the mayor but don’t share those leftist political views.”

If we had either Mr. Fioretti or Ms. Lewis in the race, but not both, and a candidate who could appeal to the justifiably angry voters on the Southwest and Northwest sides whom Mr. Emanuel regards as an endless parade of Mikes and Mollies, then we might have something of a race…but ultimately, at best, a race to see who gets slaughtered in the April run-off.  That other candidate, however, has not surfaced and will not surface and, as Mr. Goldner points out, those teed off people from my old neighborhood and their kindred spirits from the geographical fringes of the city are not going to back Karen Lewis or, once they’ve read more than a few paragraphs on the man, Bob Fioretti.  They’d rather hold their noses and vote for Mr. Emanuel.  So Mr. Fioretti and Ms. Lewis, if they both wind up in the race, will be battling each other for that fraction of the black and/or progressive vote that hasn’t been bought off or similarly mollified into voting for Mr. Emanuel…like two dogs fighting over a picked over bone.


See my two books, The Chairman, A Novel of Big City Politics and The Chairman’s Challenge, A Continuing Novel of Big City Politics, for further illumination on how things work in Chicago and Illinois politics. 



Saturday, September 13, 2014

ALDERMAN BOB FIORETTI THROWS HIS HAT IN THE RING: OH, HEART BE STILL

9/13/14

So 2nd Alderman Bob Fioretti has thrown his hat into the Chicago mayoral ring.  Yawn.

As 1st Ward Alderman Proco “Joe” Moreno said of Mr. Fioretti’s quixotic quest

“I think he has no shot.  None.  It’s delusions of grandeur on his part.”

Delusions of grandeur are somewhat characteristic of Mr. Fioretti, but probably only to a slightly greater degree than is the case with most politicians.   Like most pols, Mr. Fioretti is convinced that he has all the answers and that he is duty bound to enlighten us with his brilliance.  His feelings in this regard pale beside those of the man he seeks to unseat, but I digress.

There is nothing endemic to Mr. Fioretti that renders his bid for the 5th Floor laughable.   While being accused of being somewhat loony left, it is hard to label the advocacy of more cops on the street, removing control of the Chicago Public Schools from the mayor’s control, and elimination of red light cameras as being somehow leftist.  A commuter tax is a potentially ruinous idea that does smacks of liberalism run amok.  But, on balance, there isn’t as much room for ideology in running a city as most would have you believe.  The most dyspeptic aspect of Mr. Fioretti is, in any case, not his ideology but his aforementioned ego.  In a field that includes Rahm Emanuel and Karen Lewis, however, Mr. Fioretti’s ego would be, by comparison, a non-issue.

Mr. Fioretti does have some admirable qualities.  What immediately comes to mind is his courage to stand up to Mayors Daley and Emanuel when his colleagues in the City Council were, and are, acting like love struck schoolgirls desperately angling for so much as an approving grin from the object of their sycophancy.   Those who decry the financial ravages Mr. Daley inflicted on our city would do well to have imitated Mr. Fioretti’s voting record in the Council.   Those who decry Mr. Emanuel’s highly unpopular attempts to deal with this mess would have a hard time finding a more genuine champion than Mr. Fioretti.

None of this matters, however.  Mr. Fioretti could be a flawless candidate with impeccable credentials and a solid voting base (He has none of those.) and still get clobbered by Rahm Emanuel.   As I’ve said ad nauseam in the past (KAREN LEWIS, THE HUMAN MONOPOLY GUY: SOME QUESTIONS THAT HAVEN’T BEEN ASKED, 8/14/14, TONI PRECKWINKLE RULESOUT A RUN FOR MAYOR OF CHICAGO…MY READERSYAWN, 7/15/14, et. al.), Rahm Emanuel has all the money and all the organization.  Chicago is an array of constituencies that can readily be bought, one way or another, making it an especially fertile ground for pols with money and organization.   Toni Preckwinkle, who has more name recognition and qualifications, and a more natural voting constituency, than Mr. Fioretti, realized that she had no chance and dropped out.   Karen Lewis, with at least two more natural constituencies than Mr. Fioretti, may be in the process of seeing the light and dropping out.  Who knows what she will do?  But that, too, doesn’t matter; nobody is going to beat Rahm Emanuel in 2015.


See my two books, The Chairman, A Novel of Big City Politics and The Chairman’s Challenge, A Continuing Novel of Big City Politics, for further illumination on how things work in Chicago and Illinois politics. 


Wednesday, August 27, 2014

CHICAGO’S DAY FOR THE JACKIE ROBINSON WEST LITTLE LEAGUE: HAVE THE POLS ANY SHAME?

8/27/14

Today was a glorious day in Chicago, the day when my home town honored the U.S. Little League champion Jackie Robinson West kids with a parade and other festivities.  The parade kicked off at Jackie Robinson Park on 105th and Morgan and proceeded north on Halsted Street, passed Comiskey Park (er, sorry, U.S. Cellular Field), turned east on 35th to Indiana and eventually made its way over to Michigan Avenue and Millennium Park.   It was supposed to be a glorious day and, for the most part it has been, except…

At the kickoff of the parade, at 105th and Morgan, an observer, casual or otherwise, could not be faulted for wondering who was being honored by the event.   The kids made a cameo appearance, as did their parents.  But who was there, front and center, seizing the limelight?    This is Chicago, Illinois, so you know the answer…the politicians.

There they were, a cast of blowhards that is drawn to such events like hungry dogs to prime steak…Governor Pat Quinn, Mayor Rahm Emanuel, Attorney General Lisa Madigan, County Board President Toni Preckwinkle, Congressperson Robin Kelly, Alderman Carrie Austin, et. al…the usual suspects, turning what should have been a great day honoring some great kids into yet another occasion for self-aggrandizement.

Have these people no shame?  

They have spent our state and our city into bankruptcy.  They have made careers of shaking down the (admittedly, in many instances, not all that uncooperative or put upon) private sector for their nefarious ends.  They have been largely responsible for our city and state having become less and less livable.  They have ruined what was perhaps one of our nation’s greatest states, which combined the bustling, vital, and exciting city of Chicago with a downstate that serves as a vital component of the nation’s breadbasket and an exemplar of the type of small town values that made this country what it once was.  They have stolen and pillaged everything that wasn’t, and much of what was, nailed down. And now they have stolen the well earned limelight the citizens of our great city would like to have cast on a much deserving crew of magnificent kids.

How can one describe these poltroonish politicasters?   They are popinjays, professional narcissists, barnacles on the ship of state.   They are empty suits, carnival barkers, entitled, whimpering no-accounts.   Shameless leaches.   Self centered snakes and scalawags.  Benighted bindlestiffs on an endless, undying quest for the next microphone and/or camera.  Bleating, bumptious boors.  Contemptuous caitiffs.  Jejune jackasses.

Seizing the glimmer of glory granted to a group of great kids, not being able to envision anybody but themselves and their fellow professional narcissists getting any glory…is there any depth to which these despicable human beings will not sink?



See my two books, The Chairman, A Novel of Big City Politics and The Chairman’s Challenge, A Continuing Novel of Big City Politics, for further illumination on how things work in Chicago and Illinois politics. 

Monday, August 18, 2014

PAT QUINN TO BLACK VOTERS: BRUCE RAUNER = RAHM EMANUEL?

8/18/14

Bruce Rauner, according to the polls, holds a big lead in the 2014 Illinois governor’s race.   My asking around, and my instincts, tells me that the polls are right.  Even natural Pat Quinn voters (liberal women, union members, even friends of mine who know Mr. Quinn and voted for him out of a sense of Fenwick affinity in 2011) have told me they won’t, even can’t, vote for the Governor this time around.   One would be a fool to write off Pat Quinn’s chances in any election; he is a great campaigner and a very clever politician.  (See, inter alia, 2014 Illinois Gubernatorial Election Year Rag:   “Hand Me Down My Bulletproof Vest…” (Rant Lifestyle, 1/20/14) and PAUL VALLAS ON THE TICKET:  PAT QUINN MAKES ANOTHER BRILLIANT MOVETOWARD RE-ELECTION, 11/8/13.)   Plenty of former politicians got that way underestimating Pat Quinn.

But Pat Quinn is clearly in trouble.  If he is to win, he has to do a lot of things, and one of those is to shore up his loyal base among black voters, primarily in Chicago.  How can he do that?

Black voters, if one believes the polls, don’t like Mayor Rahm Emanuel.   Rahm Emanuel has endorsed Pat Quinn but he is a close friend of Bruce Rauner.  Mr. Rauner helped Mr. Emanuel become wealthy during the Mayor’s brief stint as an “investment banker,” the two have done business together, and they even vacation together.   So at least one strategy would appear to hold some potential for Pat Quinn:  convince black voters that a vote for Mr. Rauner is a vote for Mr. Emanuel.

This will be difficult, especially when Mr. Emanuel is publicly, if not all that enthusiastically, endorsing Pat Quinn and Mr. Quinn is doing nothing to deflect that endorsement; after all, Mr. Quinn needs all the votes and financial support he can get.  But this is what political operatives of an especially Machiavellian, some might say sneaky, variety are for.   Somehow, the back channels have to be cultivated.  The word has to get out on the street, but only on some streets, that Mr. Emanuel is secretly backing his old pal Bruce Rauner and that support for Mr. Rauner is de facto support for Mr. Emanuel.

Can Pat Quinn pull off such a feat?   Despite his much vaunted, but now tarnishing, reputation as some sort of Mr. Clean, he has not survived nearly forty years in Chicago and Illinois politics by being some kind of choir boy.  One can be confident that Mr. Quinn has plenty of dirty tricksters in his indirect, or maybe direct, employ.   One can be confident that Mr. Quinn will try, or is trying, such a Rauner=Emanuel tactic, if only because he is almost at the point at which he will need to try anything.



See my two books, The Chairman, A Novel of Big City Politics and The Chairman’s Challenge, A Continuing Novel of Big City Politics, for further illumination on how things work in Chicago and Illinois politics. 

Thursday, August 14, 2014

KAREN LEWIS, THE HUMAN MONOPOLY GUY: SOME QUESTIONS THAT HAVEN’T BEEN ASKED

8/14/14

We learned through the Chicago media yesterday that Chicago Teachers’ Union (“CTU”) President and potential mayoral candidate (See TONI PRECKWINKLE RULES OUT A RUNFOR MAYOR OF CHICAGO…MY READERS YAWN, Rant Lifestyle, 7/15/14 and the posts to which it will direct you.) Karen Lewis owns….

--a house in the very expensive Kenwood neighborhood (where the President purports to live but to which he has no intention of returning once he finishes his current gig; how ya’ gonna get ‘em back to Kenwood once they’ve seen, well, everything?  But I digress.), purchased in 2007 for $405,000.

--a summer home in Union Pier, Michigan that has been in the family since 1961.

--a condo on the big island of Hawaii, bought in 2011 for $240,000,

--two time shares in Hawaii,

--a time share in New York

--a time share in Mexico, and

--a time share in Colorado.

The predictable reaction was swift:  Karen Lewis is a hypocrite, who spends her time decrying “people of wealth and privilege” who “don’t have a clue about poverty” and castigating Mayor Rahm Emanuel as “Mayor 1%” while claiming that she, Ms. Lewis, is ‘not egotistical or rich.”  The first part of that last argument was comical even before the news of Ms. Lewis’s vast real estate holdings leaked, but, again, I digress.

Several other, more rational but not as obvious, responses came immediately to yours truly’s mind, one with the help of his wife:

One response could be that making $200,000 per year (Ms. Lewis’s combined salaries as CTU President and executive vice-president of the Illinois Federation of Teachers (“IFT”)) makes one comfortable but does not make one rich.  No level of income makes one rich; being “rich” is a balance sheet concept, a measure of wealth.   Getting “rich” involves not only making money but saving and investing that money.   Income is an income statement concept, a measure of how much one makes in a given period of time.   Large incomes do not necessarily, and often don’t, correlate with wealth.  Lower income people who know how to save can be far richer than high income people who fritter their money away on desperate attempts to fill the holes in their souls on the latest gimcracks that the rest of the herd tells them they simply must have.  Apparently, for all of Ms. Lewis’s vast education, she didn’t take, or pay much attention in, Accounting 101 or much beyond the rudiments of Finance or Economics.  Neither did most of the people who make their livings commenting on politics or economics, but that is another issue.

Leaving the rich vs. high income misconception aside, $200,000 is indeed high income but is nowhere near the Rahm Emanuel/Bruce Rauner income leagues.  If you make $200,000, good for you and God bless you; you are doing very well.  But I have news for you:  $200,000 is not an especially high income in today’s world.

A few other responses could be born of Ms. Lewis’s defense of herself.  She argued that she is highly educated…

“You are supposed to go to school, become educated.  I have an Ivy League diploma.  (I thought they were called “degrees” in college; “diplomas” are issued by grade schools and high schools.  Or so I thought.  But I don’t have an Ivy League diploma or degree so what do I know?   Okay, how to digress, but what else?)  I have two Master’s degrees.   I’m a board-certified teacher.”

There are so many things wrong with this reply that I, even without benefit of an “Ivy League diploma” hardly know where to begin.  Ms. Lewis more than implies that the purpose of education is to make lots of money.  Yours truly understands that getting employable, even rich, is certainly most people’s object in going to college and I am no exception; I majored in Accounting and got an MBA with a Finance concentrations, hardly scientia gratia scientia.  But one, and especially one in the education business, like Ms. Lewis, would like to think that there is more to education than improving one’s income potential; after all, it’s called “college,” not “trade school.”  But apparently Ms. Lewis has dispensed with the idea that the value of an education transcends job preparation.

Further, if one is interested in making money, the education field is not the first field that comes to mind.  If Ms. Lewis feels entitled to make lots of money because she has an “Ivy League diploma” and “two master’s degrees,” and if making money was her goal in pursuing these degrees, perhaps she should have gone to law, medical, or business school.   Being a “board-certified teacher” does not normally put one in a position to buy homes in Hawaii and Union Pier and time shares in New York, Hawaii, and Colorado.  Apparently, though, it worked for Ms. Lewis.

Even further, if one wants to get rich and buy homes in Hawaii, one generally doesn’t, or at least ought not, go into the business of running a union.   Yes, I know this sounds, and is, naïve, but the idea of becoming a union big shot should be to defend the interests of your fellow members against the otherwise overwhelming powers of their bosses.   Ms. Lewis, however, has decided that she is entitled to make more than any of her members and to “earn” a considerable multiple of what her average member makes.   This makes her not at all unique among union bosses, but could she and those union nabobs at least show a little shame?   Apparently not.

Ms. Lewis, in her own awkward defense, went on to point out that she makes more than even the most highly paid teacher because she is paid for a full working year, not the 39 week year her members put in. 

Hmm…

It is standard cant among the education profession that one should not pursue a career in that field because one “wants summers off.”  Colleges of Education drill that into their students.   The commercials run by teachers’ unions constantly emphasize that teachers work tirelessly, year round for “our children.”   Now Karen Lewis comes back and tells us that this is all a bunch of baloney, that her members don’t deserve to make nearly as much as she does because, after all, they only work 39 weeks a year.  It’s that shame thing again, a concept with which Ms. Lewis has little if any familiarity.

As my wife and I considered the Lewis story, my better half brought up another point.   Ms. Lewis says that she works very hard.  Even though she is paid for a 50 hour work week,

“I wish I were working 50 hours.  My day usually starts at 7 in the morning, and, if I’m lucky, I’m home by 10 at night.  I work really long hours.”

Where, my wife asked, does such a busy woman find time to visit all of her homes, time shares, etc.?   Something doesn’t add up.

Another thought that came to me concerned Ms. Lewis’s qualifications for the job of mayor of Chicago, to which she aspires but which she will never hold.  I don’t care what the polls are saying now; no one is going to beat Rahm Emanuel in 2016.  He has all the money and all the organization and can buy all the votes he needs in all the demographics he needs.  There, I’ve said it again…and did so in yet another digression.  Getting back to my point, one would think that the mayor of our once great city would know something about finance and investing.  Ms. Lewis, though, betrays her financial ignorance not only in her confusion of the concepts of having a high income vs. being rich but also in her apparently heavy investment in time shares; she apparently owns four of them.  Until someone comes up with navel lint futures (and who knows, in this era of brilliant “financial innovation,” our deep thinkers in the investment/trading industry might come up with such a useful financial tool), time shares will remain the worst investment out there.  Yet Ms. Lewis has apparently backed up the truck on this load of financial excrement.  How much judgment does that show?

Finally, my biggest concern about Ms. Lewis’s three homes and four times shares is another worry that no one, as far as I know, has mentioned.  It centers on both the concept of wealth vs. income and, more saliently, Ms. Lewis’s financial judgment.  I fear she is financially severely overextended and fear even more intensely that it is her lack of financial acumen that has dug her into this hole.

Think about it.  Ms. Lewis makes $200,000 per year, a very nice income.  But $200 grand is not enough to support a $405,000 primary residence, two secondary residences, and four time shares, none of which, with the possible exception of the Mexico time share, is in an especially affordable area.  And what about the costs of flights to Hawaii, Mexico, etc., to use her properties?  Being a financial person, yours truly’s first thought when I read of Ms. Lewis’s amateurish attempts at real estate moguldom was Ms. Lewis’s probably, er, highly leveraged financial condition.   Then I thought that maybe her husband had some dough, but he is a retired CPS gym teacher.   This is Chicago, and anything is possible, one supposes, but retired gym teachers aren’t generally rolling in dough.  

One can come to two possible conclusions concerning Ms. Lewis’s personal financial situation:   Ms. Lewis is not disclosing all of her income or Ms. Lewis has spent herself into oblivion, displaying a complete lack of financial acumen and showing, at least in this respect, a remarkable similarity to our former Governor Rod Blagojevich.  I’d bet on the latter, but neither bodes well for Ms. Lewis’s possible political aspirations...or her leadership of her union.



See my two books, The Chairman, A Novel of Big City Politics and The Chairman’s Challenge, A Continuing Novel of Big City Politics, for further illumination on how things work in Chicago and Illinois politics. 




Wednesday, July 30, 2014

ALDERMAN AUSTIN PRESENTS YOURS TRULY WITH AN OUTSTANDING BUSINESS OPPORTUNITY!

7/30/14

Mayor Rahm Emanuel’s 911 phone tax (CHICAGO’S PROPOSED PHONE TAX INCREASE:  RAHM EMANUEL’S IDEA OF “CONSTITUENT SERVICE”, Rant Finance, 6/26/14), which all but the most shamelessly disingenuous admit is a way around a property tax hike in an election year, advanced out of the City Council Finance Committee yesterday in a unanimous vote.   Dick Daley is probably looking down in awe on Mayor Emanuel’s control of his bleating sheep council, but I digress.

So how did the sycophants in the Finance Committee sweep aside the fact that a family of relatively modest means will pay more with the proposed phone tax increase than it would have under the property tax increase the phone tax is designed to obviate?  Or how do they get around the fact that the wealthier a family is, or at least the more expensive home a family has, the more money it will save under the 911 phone tax vs. the now delayed property tax?   How do the aldermen, most of whom represent constituents of more modest means, go along so obediently with a tax scheme that clearly favors Rahm Emanuel’s much more well-heeled core constituency?

Here was the answer from Budget Committee Chair Alderman Carrie Austin of the 34th Ward:

“Even though it may cost more because you have more lines with phones, I’d rather come up with an additional $5 or $10 than to come up with $150.  It may not be as much pain monthly as it would be at one time.” (sic)

Yours truly would have to agree; I, too, would rather come up with $5 or $10 per month than $150 annually, mostly because $10 per month is only $120 annually while $5 per month is only $60 annually.  

Okay, okay, so Alderman Austin is a bit arithmetically challenged; who can expect the Chair of the Budget Committee to be able to perform such complicated calculations as multiplying by twelve?   Further, we have no idea where the Alderman got the figures she cites.   But let’s forgive her lack of dexterity with the numbers, look at the Alderman’s logic, and apply it to realistic numbers. 

Say a family of four lives in a $250,000 house.  They have a land line and four cellular phone lines.  These are far from outrageous assumptions on either point.   Under the original property tax increase proposal, they would have seen a $50 increase in their annual property tax bill.  The 911 tax increase comes to $1.40 per month per line.  For the five lines, that’s $7.00 per month.  That’s $84 per year.   $84, for Alderman Austin’s benefit, is $34, or 68%, more than $50.

Using the Alderman’s logic, a family should be happy to pay the additional 68% because they’d be able to pay $7 “monthly” rather than $50 “at one time.”

Hmm…

Perhaps it isn’t Alderman Austin’s job to do arithmetic, but it is her job to know her constituents.  (At least theoretically; apparently, she, and just about every alderman, sees his or her  primary job to be pleasing Mayor Emanuel, but I digress.)  If she is correct and her constituents and, indeed, all Chicagoans, would rather pay $7 per month than $50 per year, I am going to start a business:

I will collect $7 per month from each of Alderman Austin’s constituents, and everyone in Chicago, who would see a $50 annual increase in his or her property tax liability.   In exchange for this $7 per month, I will pay the $50 annual increase in the tax liability.   I will then pocket the additional $34 per year I will collect from the payers, earning a return in excess of 68%.  I get a great return, and, if Alderman Austin is right, the people of her ward, and of Chicago, will be delighted because of the convenience of being able to pay “monthly” instead of “at one time.”  I wouldn’t have to limit this service to increased property tax bills; I could apply this “easy payment” plan to any liability of anybody who lives anywhere and, at a 68%+ return, I would be delighted to do so.

If you think people are as financially obtuse as Alderman Austin presumes they are, this plan should work.  I think I’ll try to get on Shark Tank with this one!


See my two books, The Chairman, A Novel of Big City Politics and The Chairman’s Challenge, A Continuing Novel of Big City Politics, for further illumination on how things work in Chicago and Illinois politics. 


Tuesday, July 15, 2014

TONI PRECKWINKLE RULES OUT A RUN FOR MAYOR OF CHICAGO…MY READERS YAWN

7/15/14

Cook County Board President Toni Preckwinkle today ruled out a run for mayor OF Chicago against Rahm Emanuel in 2015.   She disappointed some and surprised many.  But regular readers of yours truly merely yawned and said something like “Yeah, I knew that…a long time ago.”

Ms. Preckwinkle said she didn’t run because she had unfinished business with the County.  But readers of yours truly know the real reason she didn’t run.  As I said on 3/20/14: (TONI PRECKWINKLE AND THE RAHM EMANUEL JUGGERNAUT, Rant Lifestyle)

Toni Preckwinkle is a smart woman.  She knows all of the above. (i.e., that she had no chance against Rahm Emanuel and the Harold Washington analogies were silly and showed no knowledge of Chicago political history.  Read the whole post for details.).  So one doubts that she will run.  If Chicago Teachers’ Union President Karen Lewis wants to lie down on the tracks in front of the Rahm locomotive, Ms. Preckwinkle will be happy to oblige her and may even lend some tepid support with notably muted enthusiasm; Ms. Preckwinkle knows with whom she will be dealing for the next four years. 

Given the supposed surge of Ms. Lewis in the polls, isn’t that comment about her especially prescient?  But I digress.

And as I said on 4/10/14:  (THE 2015 CHICAGO MAYOR’S RACE:  TONI, TONI, PLEASE BACK DOWN, YOU’LL NEVER BEAT RAHM IN THIS TOWN, Rant Lifestyle)

Toni Preckwinkle has no chance against Rahm Emanuel and she knows it.  (Again, read the whole post for details.

If you want to understand Chicago politics, you have to read my posts.  This latest development in Toni Preckwinkle’s plans is only further evidence of what has always been clear to my readers.


See my two books, The Chairman, A Novel of Big City Politics and The Chairman’s Challenge, A Continuing Novel of Big City Politics, for further illumination on how things work in Chicago and Illinois politics. 


Friday, July 11, 2014

RAHM EMANUEL IS NOT GOING TO BE THE MAYOR WHO “LOST THE CUBS.”

7/11/14

As a result of yesterday’s decision by the Emanuel rubber stamp Chicago Commission on Landmarks, the Ricketts family and the Chicago Cubs they control will get all they want…and more.  Now it’s seven signs in the outfield, more seats, more suites, new bullpens, new light towers, etc.   Assuming that the revised proposal that was approved was not a mere bargaining chip to get the original smaller scale plan the Cubs first proposed, and it probably wasn’t, Wrigley Field will finally enter the 21st Century while probably retaining much of its charm, the Cubs will stay in Chicago, and the rooftop club owners and those in the Lakeview neighborhood who don’t like the new plan will just have to deal with it.

None of this should come as a surprise, certainly not to my readers; see, inter alia, THE CUBS,WRIGLEY FIELD, RAHM EMANUEL, AND CHICAGO POLITICS:  PLAY BALL!, Rant Lifestyle, 5/30/14.   Just look at the plusses for Rahm Emanuel in the new plan:   the Cubs stay here, Wrigley Field becomes an even more attractive “entertainment venue” (Note that “entertainment venues” form the core of every “economic development” plan that seems to come down the pike in our town; see THOSE HORRIBLE SOUTH WORKS AND RAHM EMANUEL’S CORE CONSTITUENCY of a few days ago.), the taxpayers are more or less protected, and the Ricketts, who know how to express their gratitude financially, become an annuity for the Mayor’s boundless political ambitions.  Then consider the downside:   a few yuppies around in the Lakeview neighborhood get upset.  Ouch.   They, and those like them, form the core of the Mayor’s base. Where are they going to go on election day? 



Rahm Emanuel was not going to be the mayor who lost the Cubs; if anything had the potential to even partially sour his dazzling urbanite suburban import base on him, it would have been losing the Cubs, the darling of that oh so chic set.   Don’t get yours truly wrong; the Cubs have some true baseball fans among their loyalists; many of them read my musings.  But, for the most part, the Cubs exist to provide a bizarre twist on urban street cred for kids from the North Shore who have decided that they are now hardened, die-hard Chicago residents.   So not only are the Cubs good for Chicago’s economy (though probably not as good as the “consultants” they and those in their corner hire would have you believe), they are an important part of the fragile self-image of the core of Mr. Emanuel’s constituency.  Though Mr. Emanuel’s chances of losing in 2015 are about as remote of those of the Cubs winning the World Series any time in the foreseeable future (See TONI PRECKWINKLE ANDTHE RAHM EMANUEL JUGGERNAUT, Rant Lifestyle, 3/20/14), why would he take the chance of losing the Cubs to, say, Rosemont?  And why would the Ricketts kids take the chance of abandoning Wrigley and having to fall back on the Cubs as the main attraction of the multi-million dollar toy their father’s wealth has acquired for them?



See my two books, The Chairman, A Novel of Big City Politics and The Chairman’s Challenge, A Continuing Novel of Big City Politics, for further illumination on how things work in Chicago and Illinois politics. 

Wednesday, July 9, 2014

THOSE HORRIBLE SOUTH WORKS AND RAHM EMANUEL’S CORE CONSTITUENCY

7/9/14

Earlier this week, in a story by veteran political reporter Lynn Sweet, the Chicago Sun-Times reported that developer Dan McCaffery has proposed placing the Obama Presidential Library on the site of the old U.S. Steel South Works along the shores of Lake Michigan on Chicago’s south side.

Whether the plan to place the Obama Library on the South Works site, or anywhere in our financially strained city, makes sense is grist for another mill.  More interesting to yours truly were the juxtaposed pictures of the old South Works site and the new Obama Library the Sun-Times ran with the story.  The old South Works are portrayed as belching out fumes, dumping detritus into the lake, and just being an environmentally obtuse corporate citizen in a number of ways.  The Obama Library, on the other hand, is, in the artist’s renderings featured by the Sun-Times, is a glowing architectural marvel, adding even further to our lake front’s breathtaking beauty.

The impression the Sun-Times, and other proponents of the South Works site for the Library, wish to convey is obvious:   the Obama Library is very, very good, a symbol of the new Chicago that will further blot out the bad old days of Chicago’s industrial history.  This is the narrative, by the way, that defines the worldview of Mayor Rahm Emanuel and the dazzling young urbanites who form the core of his constituency:   Chicago is the new Emerald City, a town of “entertainment venues,” bicycle paths, high tech crapshoots, and Potemkin prosperity, not the bad old sooty industrial town on which we should close the history books.


The U.S. Steel South Works--in a busier (better?) time

You can see why such a narrative defines the typical Emanuel supporter’s view of the world; after all, s/he, having grown up in the suburbs and having no roots in the city, and certainly no recent roots in the city’s working class, care not a whit about what made Chicago Chicago but care very much about imposing their vision of a hip, chic, trendy new age city on all of us. 

But think about this for awhile.

Yes, the old South Works complex was dirty and the neighborhoods it spawned were gritty, tough, and bereft of fern bars, yogurt stores, cutesy-pie “coffee shops” (as currently defined, i.e., trendy Starbucks places, not diners by another name), jazz bars, trendy boutiques, and other necessities of newly urban life.   But the Works, and thousands of factories like it on a smaller scale, provided a decent living for thousands of families, good paying jobs for guys (very few women worked in such environments) trying to grab the first rung on the ladder to the American Dream despite their lack of education or family or political connections.   The Works generated tax revenues for the city and spawned innumerable businesses, mostly small, on its periphery.  The Works, while dirty and sooty and smelly, made some people rich and a lot of people well off enough to buy a small home and maybe send the kids to college.

On the other hand, the Obama Library will surely be environmentally pristine.  It will provide a few jobs for academics who want to further navel gaze about the momentous accomplishments of Barack Obama in addition to maybe a few hundred minimum wage jobs for docents, janitors, security people, greeters, etc.  It will not pay property or other taxes to the city and its wage base will be so small as to provide no meaningful income tax revenue to the state.  Its inevitable gift shop will provide a pittance of sales taxes.   Rather than generate appreciable revenue like, say, a factory, it will require massive subsidies ($100 million, at this early stage) from an already bankrupt state, and maybe city, to build and run.  It will make a very few people (like the politically connected Dan McCaffery and other friends of and contributors to Rahm Emanuel and Barack Obama) rich and place an only slightly larger number just barely above water.

This is progress, according to the Sun-Times, the Emanuel Administration, and others with their own imported vision of what constitutes a great city.

Of course the South Works specifically, and steel and other heavy manufacturing, will never come back to Chicago along with their high paying jobs and other economic stimulation; natural economic evolution, plus trade policies seemingly designed to further widen the income and wealth gaps in this country, have ordained such activities on the new urban landscape to a permanent death.   Rahm Emanuel’s supporters cheer the death of industrial Chicago from the comfort of their climate controlled and oh, so immaculate offices and the trendy bars and restaurants they, like the obedient sheep they are, must frequent if they are to be part of the acceptable crowd.

But would it be such a bad thing if Chicago still had an industrial base?   Think about the good paying blue collar jobs huge, and not so huge, industrial complexes like the South Works provided to people with little education but a lot of desire to work to get on that first rung on the inter-generational climb to a comfortable middle class lifestyle.   What if those jobs were still around?   Would we be having the crime problems we are having in Chicago right now if there were jobs around that would afford people throughout our city the opportunity to buy and stay in homes, form families and communities and support those families and communities?  What if men and women, despite a lack of aptitude for high tech jobs, the legal and banking gigs, and other jobs Mr. Emanueland his “better” base deem acceptable, were able to go to work right out of high school, support families, and build some degree of wealth?   Would that be such a bad thing?

Oh, I forgot; giving people at the bottom real economic and financial opportunity would involve making a few yuppies “uncomfortable” with the condition of the environment and the possible spread of blue collar communities into the chic urban habitats Mr. Emanuel and his supporters deem acceptable for people of their lofty stature.   And so the response of the near north upscale crowd to the very notion of an industrial revival must be

“Let them get law degrees and MBAs!”

The Emanuel core need not worry, though; Chicago will never reindustrialize and the lower classes in this town will have to consign themselves to menial, low wage jobs at the “entertainment venues” that seem to form the core of every one of the Mayor’s economic revival proposals…if they can get jobs at all.  And the consequent urban blight will never reach those communities around the core of downtown, with their trendy bars and hipster hangouts and stupid restaurants at which the bill is in inverse proportion to the quantities served, that these bleating sheep inhabit.


 See my two books, The Chairman, A Novel of Big City Politics and The Chairman’s Challenge, A Continuing Novel of Big City Politics, for further illumination on how things work in Chicago and Illinois politics. 


Friday, June 27, 2014

QUINN ON EMANUEL’S PHONE TAX, U.S. INVOLVEMENT IN SYRIA AND IRAQ, EXPORTING CRUDE OIL, AND TRADING BASICS

6/27/14

Summer is finally getting to be some fun, and writing these screeds is a major element of said fun.  This week, I feature posts on basic trading and economics, Iraq and Syria (of course)…and a masterpiece, if I can say so myself, on the phone tax increase that illuminates much of Rahm Emanuel’s thinking.

CHICAGO’S PROPOSED PHONE TAX INCREASE:  RAHM EMANUEL’S IDEA OF “CONSTITUENT SERVICE”
You think the property tax can be regressive?  Try this phone tax.  Do you think Rahm Emanuel gives a rat’s hindquarters?   He’s just serving his natural constituency.

MORE ENLIGHTENED THINKING FROM WASHINGTON:  LET’S FIGHT IN BOTH IRAQ AND SYRIA!
There is no limit to the world’s battlefields and potential battlefields, which Washington sees as more opportunities to keep the “defense” contractors happy…and writing checks.

KEEP ALL CRUDE OIL AT HOME?   “LAST NIGHT I HAD A WONDERFUL DREAM…”
I suppose we’d all like to be swimming in cheap domestic crude, but the world doesn’t work that way.   It looks like somebody in Washington understand this, but it’s not who you’d think.

BAD ECONOMIC NEWS = A HEALTHY STOCK MARKET?  BUT OF COURSE!
Pretty basic stuff for many of my readers, not so basic for others.  However, in trading and investing, as in so many other fields of human endeavor, ignoring the basics is the source of much misery.   One of those basic points is that you don’t have to like a particular policy or approach to act on, and profit from, that policy or approach.  Ideology and investing, and certainly trading, don’t mix.

Have a great weekend, everybody.  While I don’t pretend to understand this World Cup stuff (For example, why is losing such a good thing?), it’s sort of fun.



For more on Chicago’s politics, see my books:
The Chairman:
The Chairman’s Challenge:



Friday, June 20, 2014

QUINN ON IRAQ, SHAKMAN...AND THINGS FAR WORSE THAN PATRONAGE HIRING

6/20/14

Yes, I am a bit consumed with Iraq of late, but this story deserves plenty of attention; rarely do we find ourselves on the brink of catastrophic (at least) regionwide conflict in which at least some of the major players are clueless, fanatical, or both.  

Despite the time spent on Iraq, I did mention to commit some apostasy on Chicago politics, still one of my favorite topics, in my first (and thus the last in this reverse chronological list)  post this week.

This week’s paragons of insight included


“ADVISERS” TO IRAQ:   DOES OBAMA REMEMBER VIETNAM?
Our clueless commander-in-chief apparently can’t remember the major foreign policy debacle of his youth.   This post not only afforded me the opportunity to rant in a Cassandric fashion but also gave me an excuse to relate a few stories from the St. Walter School of my youth.  Such stories are bound to be included in my upcoming third book, still in its formative stages.

JOHN KERRY TO IRAQIS TRYING TO STAY ALIVE:   (WESTERN DEMOCRACY) IS WHAT YOU NEED 
Mr. Kerry failed to propose mandatory nightly renderings of Kumbayah.  One wonders why he committed such an oversight.


PARTITION IRAQ?   ANOTHER LOUSY IDEA FROM WASHINGTON
Modern day Metternichs pore over the map of the Middle East.  Oh, yeah, they’re qualified to redraw the world…just like the guys at Versailles in 1919.

PATRONAGE, THE SHAKMAN DECREE, THE CITY THAT ONCE WORKED…AND DAVID COPPERFIELD
http://www.rantlifestyle.com/2014/06/16/patronage-the-shakman-decree-the-city-that-once-worked-and-david-copperfield/
Yes, Mr. Shakman, et. al., there are worse things than patronage hiring.

For more on Chicago’s politics, see my books:
The Chairman:
The Chairman’s Challenge:



Friday, June 6, 2014

QUINN ON WRIGLEY AND FORMER ALDERMAN SMITH, CAR SALES AND FINANCIAL RESPONSIBILITY, AND AN HISTORIC ANALOGY FOR TODAY’S CHINA

6/6/14

Today is the 70th anniversary of D-Day.  Last summer, we were in France (See my seminal travelogue, CLARK GRISWOLD, MR. PEABODY, AND ME, http://mightyquinnpolitics.blogspot.com/2013/08/clark-griswold-mr-peabody-and-me.html) and visited the beaches and the American cemetery in Normandy.  At the expense of sounding sacrilegious, if I don’t ever see Paris again, it won’t break my heart.  But Normandy is another story; if you can, please try to get there.   You’ll learn a lot, hopefully pray a lot, and maybe cry a little.  And you will appreciate what those guys gave us.  At the expense of sounding comparatively trite, the countryside and the villages of Normandy are also stunningly beautiful; I told our tour guide the farm boys from Iowa who landed at Normandy probably felt right at home.   I don’t think she appreciated the sentiment.

I thought I’d be able to write a lot more this week, but things got busy, though I’m not quite sure with what.  I did manage to write three posts on widely varying topics, however…

WRIGLEY AND THE CUBS:  A FORMER ALDERMAN ENLIGHTENS THE BENIGHTED RICKETTS FAMILY
The politicians know everything, don’t you see?


HUGE MAY CAR SALES:  “I SAW A CADILLAC SIGN SAYIN’ ‘NO MONEY DOWN’…”
The seemingly prescient Chuck Berry, the father of rock’n’roll, saw today’s car financing situation way back in 1956.


A "COERCIVE AND PROVOCATIVE” CHINA?   LESSONS FROM HISTORY
To quote a guy who was okay but who couldn’t carry the aforementioned Mr. Berry’s guitar case, I’m lookin’ at the man in the mirror when I read about China.


Have a great weekend, everybody, and say a prayer for the boys of Normandy.


See my two books, The Chairman, A Novel of Big City Politics and The Chairman’s Challenge, A Continuing Novel of Big City Politics, for further illumination on how things work in Chicago and Illinois politics. 


Friday, May 30, 2014

QUINN ON WRIGLEY FIELD, NUCLEAR PROLIFERATION, INTEREST RATES AND STOCK PRICES…

5/30/14

I know this is late, but I got really busy today and wanted to make sure that the first piece listed below got published and was brought to your attention…


THE CUBS, WRIGLEY FIELD, RAHM EMANUEL, AND CHICAGO POLITICS:  PLAY BALL!
I even worked a reference to granite counter tops into this observation of Wrigley and the way things work around this town.

SOUTH KOREA WARNS OF NUCLEAR PROLIFERATION:  SO WHAT?
I, for one, would welcome a Japanese nuclear capability.

STOCKS AND BONDS ARE TELLING DIFFERENT STORIES:  WHY SHOULD YOU CARE?
I wasn’t the first to make this point, and I admitted it at the start of this piece.  But today, the day after I made and published this argument, I heard or read it at least three times in the financial media.  Am I prescient?  Probably not.  Am I honest?  Absolutely.

CAP AND TRADE:  THE DEMOCRATS SCREW UP ANOTHER GREAT IDEA
Cap and trade came right out of Jack Kemp’s playbook.  But the GOP has a legitimate beef about the Obama Administration’s proposed execution of this idea.

VLADIMIR PUTIN:  “POP HAD GENCO; LOOK WHAT I GOT!”
I’ve asked it before and I’ll ask it again…what does Vladimir Putin think when he meets with the likes of Barack Obama and George Bush?

Have a great weekend, everybody.   Hopefully, the other Hawks will stay alive tonight.  In any case, it will be a great weekend at the Quinn household.



See my two books, The Chairman, A Novel of Big City Politics and The Chairman’s Challenge, A Continuing Novel of Big City Politics, for further illumination on how things work in Chicago and Illinois politics. 

Monday, April 28, 2014

QUINN ON PRECKWINKLE VS. EMANUEL, TRIPLE J, JEB BUSH, AND THE PENSION BILL

4/10/14

I took a hiatus from writing last week; I was just too busy to write and was harboring a few doubts about the whole point of the exercise.  But I was at a party last Saturday night and talked to several people whom I hadn’t seen in a while who told me how much they enjoyed my posts and asked me to assure them that I wouldn’t quit.  No coincidences, as they say, but I digress. 

At any rate, I found some time this week to write a few posts.  Almost all my musings this week were on Chicago politics; I did that because it seems like my writing on the politics of my hometown for Rant Lifestyle, a site about which I still have my misgivings, seems to sell my books…if an uptick in sales since writing for Rant is any evidence.

THE 2015 CHICAGO MAYOR’S RACE:  TONI, TONI, PLEASE BACK DOWN, YOU’LL NEVER BEAT RAHM IN THIS TOWN
Some of Toni Preckwinkle’s fans are delusional, but I hope she isn’t.  And I think I came up with a new expression for the political situation in ChicagoPax Rahmana.  Pretty good, eh?

TAKE IT TO THE BANK:  CHICAGO MAYOR RAHM EMANUEL WILL GET HIS TAX INCREASE…AND MAYBE HIS CASINO
Those who say that this whole pension bill is a stalking horse for a casino may be partially right, but property taxes are going up in Chicago anyway.

JEB BUSH IN 2016:   MOTHER KNOWS BEST
Yes, I know the Wall Street Journal editorial page has gone into the tank for this guy, but the GOP can’t be that suicidal.  Or can it?

JESSE JACKSON JR. GOES TO A NICER JAIL:  “THAT’S (NOT) THE SOUND OF THE MEN WORKING ON THE…CHAIN GANG…”
Once the glare of publicity faded, Triple J got to go to the federal housing he wanted all along.   So it goes.  But couldn’t the Jackson family have come up with a story that wasn’t quite so insulting to our intelligence?

Have a great weekend, everybody.   Blessed Holy Week and Passover.

See my two books, The Chairman, A Novel of Big City Politics and The Chairman’s Challenge, A Continuing Novel of Big City Politics, for further illumination on how things work in Chicago and Illinois politics. 




QUINN ON THE GOVERNOR’S RACE, GIANT PUPPETS, PUTIN, GM, AND HIS NAMESAKE’S HOUSING PLAN

4/24/14

The busyness, if you will, of my schedule combined with the events of the Triduum, ruled out sending you one of these heads-up announcements last week.   But I did manage to find the time to write a few things since we last communicated.  Most were on local and state politics for the simple reason that writing on these topics sells books.  But I did touch on world politics and the car business.

WHO DOES CHICAGO MAYOR RAHM EMANUEL WANT TO BE ILLINOIS GOVERNOR?
I’m not one to complain about editing, but the editor of this piece dropped the “Who” at the beginning of the title, changing its meaning entirely.   Be that as it may, the punch line is that Mr. Emanuel may be telling the truth in this instance, and it has little, but not nothing, to do with Mr. Rauner’s ill-advised robocalls.

RAHM AND THE GIANT PUPPETS
Yet another attempt by our yuppie mayor to make us a “world class” city.  Such grotesqueries make one pine for the days of the old Stock Yards, the aroma of which my father would alternately call “fresh air” or the “smell of money.”

THE GENEVA AGREEMENT ON UKRAINE:  PUTIN HORNSWOGGLES THE WEST…AGAIN
I often wonder what Mr. Putin thinks, or thought, after meeting with the likes of Barack Obama and George Bush.  It had to be something along the lines of “This guy is the leader of the free world?  Maybe freedom isn’t all it’s cracked up to be.”

“PRODUCT INTEGRITY ORGANIZATION”?  NEW GM INDEED!
There is nothing new under the sun…especially in Detroit, it seems.

ILLINOIS GOVERNOR PAT QUINN’S HOUSING PROPOSAL:  PINING FOR ’08 AND ‘09
Shows what a short memory and an utter lack of understanding of economics can do.

Have a great rest of the week and weekend, everybody.


See my two books, The Chairman, A Novel of Big City Politics and The Chairman’s Challenge, A Continuing Novel of Big City Politics, for further illumination on how things work in Chicago and Illinois politics. 




Sunday, December 22, 2013

WHY IS WEALTHY INSIDER BRUCE RAUNER TRYING TO TELL US HE IS A SIMPLE, MIDDLE CLASS OUTSIDER?

12/22/13

Speaking of the Republican primary for governor in Illinois  (See today’s other post, HOW DARE BILL BRADY TAKE RISKS, PUT PEOPLE TO WORK, AND ACTUALLY PUT SOMETHING ON THE PILE?), people have asked me what I think of Bruce Rauner.   Would like him to become our next governor? I don’t know, but probably not.  Why?

First, Mr. Rauner is a very rich man who, in ads that insult people’s intelligence, if such a thing is possible in modern America, pretends not to be rich.   Such chicanery is especially obnoxious to yours truly.   There is nothing wrong with being rich…if one has come about his riches in an honest and forthright manner and remains mindful of the needs of those who have not attained one’s level of riches.   Why should one be ashamed of one’s achievements…unless one is a fraud?

Second, Mr. Rauner is an insider who pretends to be an outsider.   He knows everyone in city government.  He is very close to Rahm Emanuel; Mr. Rauner made Mr. Emanuel rich and, if the press reports are to be believed, the Rauners and the Emanuels vacation together.  (The idea of vacationing with even my best friends is appalling to yours truly, but I digress.)   Before Mr. Emanuel somehow decided that being mayor of Chicago would be a good stepping stone to the job he really wants, Mr. Rauner was close to Mayor Richard M. Daley.  Mr. Rauner has a habit of getting very cozy with people in “public life” who can make him money.   One can see why, especially in this state, one who is an insider would pretend to be an outsider, but does Mr. Rauner expect us to believe such protestations?   Maybe he does, and perhaps with some justification.

Still, I suppose I could support Mr. Rauner if I could be convinced he is a legitimate venture capitalist or private equity maven, or whatever he purports to be.  However, one gets the nagging feeling that Mr. Rauner is just another guy who has made money from his political connections in this most corrupt of states.  For example, his investment business seems to have easy access to public pension money, pools of funds that unconnected people have virtually no shot at.  And one wonders in how many other ways his connections have benefited not only his getting money to invest but also his performance in investing the money.

Maybe everything Mr. Rauner does is due to his diligence, his intelligence, and his wise insights into the markets and the way the economy works.  And maybe I and my libertarian leaning friends will be contributing heavily to Elizabeth Warren’s campaign for president in 2016.  Certainly Mr. Rauner’s connections have a lot to do with his success, and that is to be expected…but how much?  One suspects a great deal; as I said a few paragraphs ago… Why should one be ashamed of one’s achievements…unless one is a fraud?

It matters little, however, what I think of Mr. Rauner.   While I don’t like to make political prediction, it’s hard to see how he won’t get the GOP nomination, if only because of the weak competition he faces.


See my two books, The Chairman, A Novel of Big City Politics and The Chairman’s Challenge, A Continuing Novel of Big City Politics, for further illumination on how things work in Chicago and Illinois politics. 



Tuesday, November 26, 2013

“OKLAHOMA VS. ILLINOIS”: COMMENTS FROM SOMEONE WHO KNOWS SOMETHING ABOUT ILLINOIS POLITICS

11/26/13

A good friend forwarded a message to me that seems to be making its way around the internet.  The message, entitled “Illinois vs. Oklahoma,” by a Harlan Twible blames the Democrats for Illinois’ financial problems and draws an unfavorable comparison to Oklahoma, but the author’s comments on the latter center around illegal immigration rather than finances.

The piece contained one of my favorite quotes, which the author quoted but did not attribute to its source, which reportedly was Henry Ford…

"Any man who thinks he can be happy and prosperous by letting the Government take care of him; better take a closer look at the American Indian."

Yes, Ford was both an industrial genius and a political kook.   But this is one of those instances when his political/social views were absolutely correct, if it is indeed his quote.   Including this quote was not the only area in which Mr. Twible made convincing points.  Nonetheless, those points need refinement.

I was asked by my buddy to comment on the author’s observations on Illinois’ political/financial situation.   I thought my readers might be interested in my observations.  I limited those comments to Illinois; I didn’t touch the author’s views on Oklahoma’s approach to illegal immigration:


Illinois is a mess; for all intents and purposes it is bankrupt, and if we followed the same GAAP conventions for pensions that corporations do, that would be even more obvious.  Chicago's situation is at least as perilous.  Our situation is yet another case of pols buying people's votes with other people's money; ironically, often with the people's own money, which is what Tocqueville warned us about nearly 200 years ago now.

The Detroit analogy is more on target than most people think.  We continually play a game of denial in Chicago.  We thump our chests and say, while giggling at those who make the Motown analogy, "Chicago isn't Detroit" and then go on to cite our more diversified economy while avoiding the obvious political analogy of reckless spending by pols who remain reassured by the assumption that we will always find a way to pay for their excesses...somewhere down the road.   And in the post-industrial age, the raison d' etres for places like Detroit and Chicago are similarly slim, so the diversified economy argument will weaken, and do so quickly.   Mayor Emanuel and his obsequiants in the media and in favored quarters of the “business community” seem to think that businesses are lining up to live here because they want to bask in the glow of the Mayor’s greatness.  Such is the through process of those who believe that government is everything.

Chicago is a great place.  Illinois is a great place.  I love them both.  But they are not as great as those of us who love them seem to think they are.   There are plenty of objectively nice(r) places to live and to do business in this country.   We are soon approaching a point at which people will not put up with the shenanigans of the pols just to be able to live here.

I'd take issue with just a couple things regarding Illinois in the Twible piece....

First, his chain of command in Illinois is wrong.  The real chain of command would have Mike Madigan at the top and Rahm Emanuel near the top.   The governor has nowhere near the power his office would indicate; this has been the case for a long time in Illinois.   In fact, the governor of this state, whomever he may be, only has power to the extent he can work with, and accommodate, the Democratic power base, which is located in Chicago and manifests itself in control of the legislature and the huge concentration of statewide votes in and around Chicago.  

This leads to my next point.   We have a strange breed of GOPer here in Illinois who, since s/he craves power above all else like all pols, plays a game of get-along, go-along.  (Come to think of it, perhaps our GOPers are not all that strange; most Republicans everywhere crave power above all else and hence continually play a game of get-along, go-along, but I digress.)  This has been the case since at least the '50s, when Governor Stratton played footsie with the first and real Mayor Daley.  So the Republicans in this state are far from blameless for our pension mess.  In fact, the mess had at least some  roots in the Thompson and Edgar administrations, who went along with juicy pension deals with the teachers and other public employee unions so that Messrs. Thompson and Edgar could bask in the glow of teachers' unions endorsements, or at least pats on the head.

But Twible’s major point is certainly correct; the Democratic establishment has controlled things in this state forever.  Mike Madigan has been Speaker of the House for the last thirty or so years, with a brief (I think four year) interregnum in the '90s.   Clearly, the Dems wear the jacket.  But to assume that things would get, or be, much better if the GOP took power is delusional and naive.  Even if they had the guts to attack this problem, rather than attempt to curry the favor of the public employees' unions in order to secure their newfound positions of power, we are probably too far gone to fix this mess.


See my two books, The Chairman, A Novel of Big City Politics and The Chairman’s Challenge, A Continuing Novel of Big City Politics, for further illumination on how things work in Chicago and Illinois politics.