One can make plenty of observations regarding Wednesday night’s
GOP debates:
- Donald
Trump has some chinks in his
electoral armor and his opponents are starting to find them.
- Jeb
Bush has a pulse. That his supporters are touting as a
huge positive for his campaign the evidence the debate provided of that
pulse’s existence shows how much trouble the fair haired boy of the GOP
establishment is in.
- Marco Rubio did a pretty good job
but, for some reason, the punditocracy didn’t notice. He might be the establishment’s
alternative if Mr. Bush should continue to fail to live up to what look
like cut from whole cloth expectations.
- Mr. Rubio, if he is to inherit Mr. Bush’s well
moneyed support, will have to somehow transcend Chris Christie, who performed quite the Lazarus act on his
presidential hopes Wednesday night.
Christie was terrific, especially when lambasting the front runners
for their obsessions with themselves and positioning himself as an
establishment Republican who can still speak for the middle class.
- Rand
Paul’s sensible, sober approach
to foreign policy clearly disqualifies him for the nomination of a Party
that equates to treason the exercise of caution, prudence, and Constitutionality
when putting the lives of young Americans on the line.
- You can stick the proverbial fork in Scott Walker.
- If the American people were yearning for the Fred
MacMurray (the good, My Three Sons
Fred MacMurray, not the double dealing, caddish, scheming, Double Indemnity and The Apartment Fred MacMurray)
approach to life and politics, John
Kasich would be a shoo-in. But
that approach became passé when yours truly was a small child. Too bad.
- Ben
Carson is probably too smart,
and too much of a gentleman, to be president. Also too bad.
- The debate was too long. Even those of us who have yet to
overcome our silly addiction to politics were getting bored as the debate
moved into the third hour.
While
those are all, at the risk of sounding a touch braggadocious, searingly
insightful observations, we can only
draw one inescapable conclusion from
Wednesday night’s debate: Carly Fiorina
is going to be on the GOP ticket. If she
is not at the top of the ticket, still something of a long shot, she will be in
the vice-presidential spot.
Mrs.
Fiorina is clearly bright, articulate, forceful, and, despite Mr. Trump’s apparent
opinion, attractive. And she is a woman,
which certainly has its attractions whether or not Hillary Clinton heads the
Democratic ticket. (See “Something(s)about Hillary,” 9/8/15 .) Mrs. Fiorina is also a cancer survivor, which
not only shows courage and grit but is, ironically, a big plus in the
increasingly emotional electoral climate we face. The establishment is more than comfortable
with this former corporate chieftain and the social conservatives also like her
for her strong pro-life positions.
Mrs.
Fiorina only has two obvious drawbacks.
The first is that her record in corporate America is, to put it charitably, worse than mediocre. However, the American people seem to be
coming to the (correct) conclusion that even someone who did far less than
stellar work in a real job is a better choice than someone who has spent his or
her life in and around electoral politics, i.e., who has made his or her living
having his or her hindquarters smooched and who consequently is terrified at
the thought of having to work in the private sector, or even in a public sector
job with responsibilities that transcend preening for the cameras, for a
living.
The
second drawback is that Mrs. Fiorina, unlike Messrs. Kasich, Rubio, Walker, or
Bush, has no chance of bringing a swing state, or any state, into the GOP Electoral
College fold. California isn’t going to go GOP regardless of who is on the
Republican ticket. But enhancement of
the electoral map by selection of one’s running mate is an overrated strategy,
as evidenced by Bill Clinton’s selection of Al Gore, Barack Obama’s selection
of Joe Biden, and Ronald Reagan’s selection of George Bush as their running
mates. Each of these veeps either
didn’t bring his state into the fold or was from a state that was already
solidly in the fold. Running mates have
an appeal that transcends their home states.
This is especially true in the case of Mrs. Fiorina.